Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.925177 1.042385 1.170292 1.320489 1.492349 1.683223 1.911781
2025-01-12 0.737017 0.893331 1.078226 1.314118 1.608572 1.965942 2.435460
2025-01-19 0.610678 0.775591 0.981036 1.257725 1.623568 2.094802 2.754319
2025-01-26 0.549997 0.726237 0.955532 1.278805 1.727781 2.336569 3.236968
2025-02-02 0.504506 0.688786 0.937679 1.302826 1.832294 2.583592 3.750994
2025-02-09 0.463237 0.651189 0.913517 1.312165 1.912855 2.800732 4.243553
2025-02-16 0.427854 0.617447 0.890018 1.317686 1.985140 3.009488 4.744774
2025-02-23 0.402679 0.595556 0.880658 1.341691 2.085623 3.269132 5.356083
2025-03-02 0.366976 0.554319 0.837950 1.308752 2.090862 3.374954 5.720954
2025-03-09 0.349244 0.538919 0.833140 1.334727 2.193209 3.649304 6.409377
2025-03-16 0.325097 0.511205 0.806170 1.321109 2.226277 3.807160 6.905472
2025-03-23 0.308616 0.494380 0.795116 1.332635 2.302952 4.048043 7.585244
2025-03-30 0.287434 0.468555 0.767702 1.314434 2.326666 4.198924 8.118874
2025-04-06 0.269902 0.447562 0.746813 1.305892 2.367252 4.385974 8.752087
2025-04-13 0.246326 0.414396 0.702232 1.250106 2.312637 4.382475 8.986088
2025-04-20 0.237015 0.405397 0.699333 1.271022 2.407584 4.684293 9.917083
2025-04-27 0.228860 0.397782 0.698190 1.294883 2.510326 5.012850 10.954865
2025-05-04 0.219269 0.386833 0.690013 1.304158 2.583975 5.288133 11.910083
2025-05-11 0.209910 0.375621 0.680438 1.309642 2.649931 5.553700 12.881280
2025-05-18 0.203536 0.369524 0.680035 1.333484 2.757189 5.922562 14.163644
2025-05-25 0.190843 0.350546 0.653394 1.300769 2.737386 5.999772 14.714245
2025-06-01 0.185767 0.345932 0.654553 1.326568 2.850671 6.399940 16.176320
2025-06-08 0.176719 0.332933 0.638066 1.313042 2.872655 6.584104 17.082322